excerpts from an internal memo written by the powerful-est Clinton partisan I have access to.
Hillary no longer has any realistic chances of winning and if she does not bow out gracefully within the next couple of weeks I fear her image as a fighter will be transformed to that of a selfish nut case. It is one thing to fight but it is another to fight in a way that will embarrass yourself and potentially damage your party.
By the way of post mortem the following are the factors which I believe dictated the outcome:
- 1. Change – the country is ready to shake up the establishment and there is no way she could campaign as a candidate of change;
- 2. Her position on the war in Iraq and her stubborn refusal to admit it was a mistake – it is bad enough that she was wrong on authorizing Bush to embark upon the war, her refusal to admit that she made a mistake barred her from making any inroads with the progressives;
- 3. The campaign’s inability to see that Bill Clinton’s comments in South Carolina were perceived as racist – I know that there is not a racist bone in Bill Clinton’s body, but the adamant refusal of the campaign to understand that taken out of context and being negatively commented on by the cable pundits made Clinton’s comments appear to be racist and then the perception became the reality;
- 4. The comments on sniper fire in Bosnia – this was a stupid example of exaggerating which reinforced the perception that she was untrustworthy and it came during a relatively dead news cycle which caused it to be blown way out of proportion;
- 5. Her proposal on the gas tax holiday – this gimmick which was apparently repudiated by one of her own staff members received an undeserved amount of attention from the economists and the cable TV pundits and took the attention away from Obama’s personal issues, as well as suggesting that Hillary would say anything to get elected. This proposal was more clever than smart and like most clever proposals it can not endure in the long run. This proposal did not endure in the short run.
Senator Clinton is a great lady who became a more effective campaigner and more human as the campaign continued, and to my mind is the most qualified to be the President of the United States right now. However, the nomination does not go to the most qualified candidate, but rather to the candidate who has run the best campaign. She did not run the best campaign and has lost.